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Crown Green Handicap

Steve Dawson

Team: Oxton Conservative ClubDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

837

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

13

Matches Played

4

Wins

9

Losses

31%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

6.7

Avg Loss Margin

3-3

Home Record

1-6

Away Record

11%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
13 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/18/2017

Only 13 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 152/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 13 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 May2 Jun16 Jun7 Jul17 Jul7 Aug18 Aug-1371115

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
31%
score-0.38→contribution-0.15
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.7
score+0.22→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
31%
score-0.38→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
1017
score-0.37→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.238
Sample Size Confidence
11%(13/39 matches)
Rating881 → shrunk 987→ adjusted 837
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

4W9L13 matches·30.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Conservative Club2017League 2134930.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/18/2017#b Graham BuntingA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
8/11/2017b Samantha StanleyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
8/7/2017Rob OllerheadH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2017Tony CavanaghA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
7/17/2017# Ray FarrellA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
7/14/2017Steve RichardsonH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
7/7/2017Lynsey GormanH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
6/30/2017Brian LeonardA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
6/16/2017Peter JonesH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2017Colin SavilleA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
6/2/2017Jason DermottA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
5/26/2017Darren HankinH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
5/19/2017Mike NelsonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
Cartwright Cup1 games · 1W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters Round* Jim TunleyAlbany21-11WINWON

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLWWL
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LLWWLWLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
#b Graham Bunting0110%8/18/2017
b Samantha Stanley0110%8/11/2017
Rob Ollerhead101100%8/7/2017
Tony Cavanagh101100%7/31/2017
# Ray Farrell0110%7/17/2017
Steve Richardson101100%7/14/2017
Lynsey Gorman0110%7/7/2017
Brian Leonard0110%6/30/2017
Peter Jones101100%6/16/2017
Colin Saville0110%6/9/2017
Biggest Win
Tony Cavanagh (+10)7/31/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Mike Nelson (-12)5/19/2017
Best Season
201731% · 13 matches
Worst Season
201731% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
17% → 43%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
102210 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-60% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-0100% win rate
League 230.8%
4W·9L·13 played

Debut

May 19, 2017

Latest

Aug 18, 2017

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

13.0 (13 total)

Seasons

2017